CHINA-INDIA: FACE-OFF AT DOKA LA

Xiao Bin, Deputy Secretary-General of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Research Center affiliated to the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), wrote in the state-owned Global times on July 23, 2017, that "Since Indian troops illegally crossed the border with China in the Doklam area, China and India, both of which are members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), have been locked in a standoff, and as a result bilateral ties have plunged to a record low". he added that "India's accession to the SCO earlier this year is likely to hinder the organization's role of maintaining security in western China, because most of the SCO's initiatives will be impeded by strained Sino-Indian ties. When that happens, the SCO will come to a strategic standstill, which poses a challenge to the security of western China and consequently impacts China's growth".  Xiao Bin asserted too that "In fact, India's confrontation with China is, by and large, backed by America's China policy. India has not only sealed arms deals with the US, but also established strategic military bases along the China-India border" and pointed to a recent Pew Survey of September 2016, which said "about 36 percent of the Indian public voiced an unfavorable opinion of China and 69 percent thought China's growing military power is a problem for India, including 46 percent who considered it a very serious issue". He said that "India's participation in the SCO will do more harm than good in the short and medium term. The Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region matters the most to the security of western China. ... At present, Xinjiang is at a critical stage in terms of stability and growth". He also said "Under such circumstances, China will beef up efforts to alleviate the negative influence posed by India and safeguard its territorial integrity. India's irrational actions along the border harm both its socio-economic growth and the security of western China. In the end, other countries will exploit benefits from China-India border tensions". 

 

Also on July 23, 2017, Long Xingchun, Research Fellow at The Charhar Institute and Director of the Center for Indian Studies at China West Normal University, Nanchong, wrote that with the border standoff between Chinese and Indian troops lasting for more than five weeks there are widespread worries that it may escalate into an armed conflict. Stating that "China doesn't want a war", he said "Many Indian media outlets and analysts put all the blame on China for the standoff and conclude that China had plotted to provoke the conflict in an attempt to divert attention from its internal problems". Long Xingchun regretted that persons in India have  bookish knowledge of China adding that "there are no more than 200 China experts in India, of which 10 percent, at most, can read or speak Chinese. Most of these experts study China based on publications from the US and Europe and a few English publications published by China, but sadly they believe that they have been well informed about China". Arguing that some even describe "the neighbor as "Communist China," which feels like a term from 40 years ago",  he said "If India fights a large-scale war with China now, it will not only scare away foreign investment, but also disrupt India's economy. Even if a war is brief, China and India may still be locked in a standoff for a long time. In this case, India will have its economic momentum disrupted and lose its opportunities to rise". He did, however, point out that "Even if the standoff is resolved diplomatically, it has already crippled the bilateral relationship. This will have a long-term impact on Sino-Indian ties" and advocated improved communications and enhanced official and people-to-people exchanges to improve bilateral ties. 







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