ISSUE/POLICY BRIEFS & REPORTS
SLOWING ECONOMY HAS PROMPTED CHINA'S CONCILIATORY POSTURE TOWARDS INDIA The Chinese leadership has stepped up efforts for unfettered access to the large, and as yet untapped, Indian market since last year. This has come amid the incremental decline in imports from China by the US and EU and growing tension between the US and China. While China has not altered its aggressive policy towards Japan, the Philippines and Taiwan, it has tactically adopted a more accommodative tone towards the US and India. The tensions have aggravated the Chinese leadership’s concerns caused by its failure to arrest the steady decline of the Chinese economy.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Oct 2024 |
CHINA IS UNBENDING ON IMPROVING RELATIONS WITH INDIA There is negligible prospect of improvement in India-China relations in the near future. The absence of communication at high leadership levels and China's recent protest against economic assistance to projects in Arunachal Pradesh, on the thin pretext that it is disputed, are brazen examples. In fact, they point to China expanding the areas of pressure on India.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Jul 2024 |
QUICK ASSESSMENT OF THE CHINESE COMMUNIST PARTY’S THIRD PLENUM The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Central Committee (CC) convened its Third Plenum after
an unexplained delay of almost eight months. The failure to convene the Third Plenum despite
China’s steadily declining economy -- which has over 23 percent graduate unemployment,
high urban and rural unemployment, rising prices and cost of living, drastically reduced
revenues of the provinces and widespread dissatisfaction resulting in strikes and protests --
prompted speculation that the CCP leadership was divided on the prescription required for
giving the economy the necessary fillip. Third Plenums are important as they set the country's
economic policy for its 5 year term.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Jul 2024 |
RISING TENSION IN TAIWAN STRAIT IS CAUSE FOR CONCERN
Tension across the Taiwan Strait has risen in past weeks after the leader of the
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) Lai Ching-te took over as Taiwan's new
President. Since then the Chinese authorities have mounted psychological and
military pressure on Taiwan. Beijing has issued sternly worded warnings,
accompanied by personal threats, to Lai Ching-te against making statements that
Beijing perceives as provocative. Tensions were raised further when Chinese
President Xi Jinping told the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) to be ready to invade
Taiwan by its hundredth founding anniversary in 2027. On May 7, 2024, the
US Central Intelligence Agency Director Bill Burns repeated that “President Xi has
instructed the PLA [People's Liberation Army], the Chinese military leadership to be
ready by 2027 to invade Taiwan".
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Jul 2024 (This Issue Brief was first published by Vivekananda International foundation (VIF)) |
PORTENDS OF THE XI-PUTIN SUMMIT IN MAY 2024 Summits between Russian President Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping are invariably closely monitored in world capitals, especially since the onset of Russia’s war with Ukraine in 2022 and the two having declared a “no limits friendship”! China is the largest country to sustain Russia’s effort to withstand Western pressure. The Summits also incrementally advance their common agenda of changing the existing world order to make it “more fair” and “equitable”. Xi Jinping has already articulated the principal features of the world order envisioned by him, namely a community of common destiny, and the Global Civilisational Initiative (GCI), Global Development Initiative (GDI) and Global Security Initiative (GSI). By initiating the war with Ukraine, Putin has fired the first salvo in the bid to replace the existing world order and US dominance.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Jun 2024 |
THE PEOPLE’S LIBERATION ARMY (PLA)’S NEW INFORMATION SUPPORT FORCE On April 19, Chinese President Xi Jinping announced that a new People's Liberation Army (PLA) Information Support Force had been established. At the same time he announced establishment of the PLA Aerospace Support Force and PLA Cyberspace Support Force and the disbandment of the PLA Strategic Support Force (SSF). Together this constitutes the largest reorganisation of the PLA since the one effected in 2016. The reorganisation comes a month after Chinese President Xi Jinping’s speech to PLA and PAP Deputies attending the National People’s Congress (NPC) session on March 7, 2024. In this speech he emphasised the importance of using emerging fields and building strategic combat capabilities. Details of the leadership or specialist functions of the Forces have, however, not yet been revealed.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Jun 2024 (This Issue Brief was first published by Vivekananda International foundation (VIF)) |
Bio-profiles of the PLA's emerging leaders to gain insights into the next generation of Chinese military leadership and their strategic thinking, prepared by the Centre for China Analysis and Strategy (CCAS).
Mr. Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS along with Dr. Abhishek Darbey, Research Fellow, CCAS presented the Directory of the People's Liberation Army, Western Theatre Command (May 2023) to Air Chief Marshal VR Chaudhari PVSM AVSM VM ADC on 22 June, 2023
Bio-profiles of the 24 members of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)'s apex body, the 20th Politburo, prepared by the Centre for China Analysis and Strategy (CCAS)
Bios of The People's Liberation Army (PLA)'s Representation in the 20th Central Committee (CC) of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
Mr Jayadeva Ranade's address at the Army Commanders Conference, December 10,2022
Mr Jayadeva Ranade, President, Centre for China Analysis and Strategy #CCAS called on General Manoj Pande #COAS and discussed contemporary geopolitical and national security issues. Centre for China Analysis and Strategy proudly continues to make meaningful contributions towards 'Understanding #China' and has produced a comprehensive directory of the People's Liberation Army, Western Theatre Command (updated till May 2023). EVENTSThe Chief of Army Staff, General Manoj Pande, PVSM AVSM VSM ADC delivered the keynote address at the inaugural session of the two-day strategic dialogue in Pune on the subject 'Rise of China and Its Implications for the World' organised by the Centre for China Analysis and Strategy and the Department of Defence and Strategic Studies (DDSS) of the Savitribai Phule Pune University (SPPU). 2nd STRATEGIC DIALOGUE ON RISE OF CHINA AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR THE WORLD: SESSION II - INAUGURAL, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, DDSS SPPU, Mar 28, 2023 2nd STRATEGIC DIALOGUE ON RISE OF CHINA AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR THE WORLD : SESSION I - INAUGURAL, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, DDSS SPPU, Mar 27, 2023 Rise of China and Implications for the World co-hosted with Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung India, Department of Defence and Strategic Studies, Pune University and Centre for Advanced Strategic Studies from 10-12 April 2022 in Pune Seminar organised by the Centre for China Analysis and Strategy (CCAS) and Centre for Advanced Strategic Studies (CASS) on 'India-China Relations in the Twenty First Century : Challenges and Opportunities' held on 03rd March 2020. The event was supported by ICWA and also by Maharashtra Education Society, Pune on 3 March 2020. Seminar organized by Centre for China Analysis and Strategy & Delhi Journalists Association titled 'Understanding China's Rise' held at IIC on 28 February 2020. |
CCAS EXPERTS IN MEDIAMounting domestic discontent spells trouble for Xi, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Dec 04, 2024 China’s economic woes prompt shift in India border policy, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Nov 07, 2024 Xi Jinping and CCP, Assessing Today's Chinese Geopolitics, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Oct 28, 2024 India-China Talks: Higher The Level, The Better It Is, Says Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News Global, Oct 13, 2024 China continues its aggressive policies in the Indo-Pacific, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Sunday Guardian, Oct 13 , 2024 Chinese President's power plans for the First Lady, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Sep 27, 2024 China keeps reunification agenda alive with pressure on Taiwan, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Sep 04, 2024 Realism, strategic interests should dictate India-China ties, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Aug 21, 2024 Xi Jinping in Crisis, India China, Chinese Military, China Economy, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Aug 13, 2024 India, Taiwan have crucial roles to play in nurturing Indo-Pacific alliance, Namrata Hasija, Research Fellow, CCAS, The Sunday Guardian, Jul 28, 2024 China in for a shift in economic policy to incorporate Xi’s ideas, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Jul 26, 2024 Chinese FM Dials NSA Doval | Is This Chinese diplomacy or tactics?, Namrata Hasija, Research Fellow, CCAS, NewsX, Jul 11, 2024 Jaishankar-Wang Yi Discuss Border Resolution | Will China Practice What It Preaches?, Namrata Hasija, Research Fellow, CCAS, NewsX, Jul 05, 2024 India's Deteriorating Relationship With China, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, TaiwanPlus News, Jun 27, 2024 PLA reorganisation has implications for China’s neighbours, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Jun 27, 2024 Xi keen on consolidating bilateral ties to divide EU, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, May 23, 2024 Galwan And After: Reality Check On India-China Relations, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News Global, May 13, 2024 Blinken’s China visit brings to the fore bilateral tensions, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, May 04, 2024 Xi keen on bolstering armed forces for warfare, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Apr 17, 2024 Does The US Have Stomach For A War: China Is Asking, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News Global, Apr 14, 2024 Anti-Xi rumour mill goes into overdrive, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Mar 28, 2024 Covertly And Overtly, China Readies To Merge Taiwan With The Mainland, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News Global, Mar 12, 2024 China’s leadership glosses over growing popular discontent, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Mar 09, 2024 What is China Trying to Do with Bharat | How Desperate is Xi Jinping, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Feb 03, 2024 Xi struggles to eradicate corruption from PLA, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Feb 03, 2024 A Special interview | EFA student | Mr. Jayadeva Ranade | BLF 2024 | Bhopal, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, EFA School Media, Jan 20, 2024 China keen to boost foreign investment in Tibet, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Dec 14, 2023 Xi aims to tightly control financial sector, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Nov 24, 2023 Hope floats for a thaw in China-US relations, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Nov 02, 2023 CHANAKYA DEFENCE DIALOGUE: CURTAIN RAISER, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Oct 26, 2023 Israel-Hamas War: For the Chinese, Hamas clearly not a terrorist organisation, Namrata Hasija, Research Fellow, CCAS, Moneycontrol, Oct 13, 2023 Chinese President running up against domestic headwinds, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Sep 23, 2023 The curious case of disappearances in the Chinese Communist Party, Namrata Hasija, Research Fellow, CCAS, Moneycontrol, Sep 18, 2023 Chinese President Xi Jinping Cancels Visits Abroad Because Of Political Instability At Home, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News Global, Sep 3, 2023 Is Xi Jinping Destroying China | Can the CCP Save Itself , Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Aug 14, 2023 Qin Gang case points to political discord in China, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Aug 05, 2023 A Shanghai Contradiction Organisation – Let’s call it what it is, Namrata Hasija, Research Fellow, CCAS, Moneycontrol, Jul 06, 2023 The India-China Equation:Challenges and the Way Forward|Ep38|Nation-State Dialogue|民族国家对话|राष्ट्र..., Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Jul 05, 2023 Blinken’s China visit offers little hope of easing strained ties, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Jun 28, 2023 Galwan: China’s cultural, admin footprint in border areas growing, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Times of India, Jun 24, 2023 China as a model for path to modernisation, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Jun 07, 2023 Xi's new slogans to concretise his leadership, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, May 04, 2023 Any Chinese Overture Should Be Seen As A Tactical Move, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News Global, Apr 21, 2023 Growing Taiwan-US relations rile Beijing, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Apr 12, 2023 Xi’s Moscow Visit: A weakened Russia in China’s orbit narrows India’s geopolitical options in Asia, Namrata Hasija, Research Fellow, CCAS, Moneycontrol, Mar 24, 2023 China May Be Loud Against Groupings Threatening Its Reach, But Hasn't Proposed De-Escalation Either, Namrata Hasija, Research Fellow, CCAS, The Wire, Mar 23, 2023 Xi firmly at the helm amid China’s tough times, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Mar 21, 2023 China’s Increased Attention to Tibet’s Borders With India, Apa Lhamo, Research Fellow, CCAS, The Diplomat, Mar 04, 2023 Kashmir issue needs no foreign intervention, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Feb 25, 2023 Despite dissatisfaction, Xi consolidates power, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Feb 7, 2023 Strategic Challenges India in 2030 in conversation with Bhuvan Lall | IBLF 2023 - Gurugram Chapter, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Business world, Jan 23, 2023 The great wall of Chinese antagonism | Jayadeva Ranade on security in India@2023, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, India Today, Jan 14, 2023 India needs to double down on its China policy, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Jan 7, 2023 |