ISSUE/POLICY BRIEFS & REPORTS
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INITIAL ANALYSIS OF LEAKED VIDEO OF CHINESE WAR PREPAREDNESS EXERCISE IN GUANGDONG
The timing of the 'leak' of the video of a ‘War Preparedness Mobilisation Exercise’ convened
by the Guangdong Province Communist Party Committee on May 14, 2022 is interesting. It is
yet unclear whether the video was deliberately ‘leaked’ by the Chinese as part of psywar, or
it was an unauthorised recording of the meeting by a disgruntled People's Liberation Army
(PLA) officer. It will nonetheless certainly be carefully analysed by China’s neighbours and
competitors.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Jun 2022 (This Issue Brief was first published by Vivekananda International foundation (VIF)) |
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TROUBLED TIMES AHEAD FOR CHINA AND XI JINPING
China is headed for a difficult period. A variety of factors have converged to make this a
potentially volatile period. With barely six months to go for the crucial 20th Party Congress,
it will be a period of particularly heightened concern for Chinese President Xi Jinping. This
especially as he has been in charge of the economic and foreign policy portfolios, both of
where major problems loom.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE May 2022 (This Issue Brief was first published by Vivekananda International foundation (VIF)) |
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RUSSIA-CHINA: IMPLICATIONS OF THE UNEQUAL RELATIONSHIP
A brief background of world events will help set the context for assessing this relationship.
Without delving into why Russia did what it did in Ukraine, over the past few years we have
witnessed major powers attempting to consolidate or expand their territory – as in the case
of China – or their areas of influence.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE May 2022 (This Issue Brief was first published by Vivekananda International foundation (VIF)) |
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CHINESE CRITICISMS OF CHINA’S SUPPORT TO RUSSIA’S INVASION OF UKRAINE
After the February 4 Summit between Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Beijing and 18 days after Russia invaded Ukraine, China has not wavered in its support of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine despite urgings by the US and West. Differing views are, however, now beginning to surface internally.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Mar 2022 |
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CHINESE ASSESSMENTS OF THE U.S. AND WEST AND SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA
After the February 4 summit between Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Beijing on the side-lines of the Beijing Winter Olympics, where Putin briefed Xi Jinping -- or certainly gave him at least a fair insight into his plans for Ukraine -- China has been unwavering in its support to Russia. This despite the US repeatedly urging China, including as recently as March 5, to join the US and West in their sanctions against Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The Chinese official media, which doesn’t use terms like ‘invasion’ to describe Russian action in Ukraine, and has strongly supported Russia, however, appears to have modulated its reporting on developments concerning Ukraine to some extent since around February 27-28. This will be to avoid attracting the adverse notice of the West and potentially sanctions against Chinese companies and entities trading, or doing business, with Russia.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Mar 2022 |
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CHINA’S EFFORTS TO ERASE THE DALAI LAMA’S INFLUENCE AND PROMOTE PANCHEN LAMA ARE
YIELDING MINIMAL RESULTS’
Chinese President Xi Jinping has increased efforts in recent months to try and erase the XIVth Dalai Lama’s influence inside Tibet and among the growing number of adherents to Buddhism elsewhere in China. This suggests an apparent urgency to ensure that the exiled Dalai Lama’s reincarnation, when the situation arises, will be nurtured by tutors compliant with the Chinese communist regime and later remain in the firm grip of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). The spectre of two Dalai Lamas -- one quite outside Beijing’s control -- like presently in the case of the Panchen Lama, though the one approved by the Dalai Lama has been secreted somewhere among China’s 1.4 billion people, haunts the Chinese communist leadership.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Feb 2022 (This Issue Brief was first published by Vivekananda International foundation (VIF)) |
Mr Jayadeva Ranade, President, Centre for China Analysis and Strategy #CCAS called on General Manoj Pande #COAS and discussed contemporary geopolitical and national security issues. 
Centre for China Analysis and Strategy proudly continues to make meaningful contributions towards 'Understanding #China' and has produced a comprehensive directory of the People's Liberation Army, Western Theatre Command (updated till February 2021). EVENTSRise of China and Implications for the World co-hosted with Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung India, Department of Defence and Strategic Studies, Pune University and Centre for Advanced Strategic Studies from 10-12 April 2022 in Pune 
Seminar organised by the Centre for China Analysis and Strategy (CCAS) and Centre for Advanced Strategic Studies (CASS) on 'India-China Relations in the Twenty First Century : Challenges and Opportunities' held on 03rd March 2020. The event was supported by ICWA and also by Maharashtra Education Society, Pune on 3 March 2020. 
Seminar organized by Centre for China Analysis and Strategy & Delhi Journalists Association titled 'Understanding China's Rise' held at IIC on 28 February 2020. |
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CCAS EXPERTS IN MEDIALessons from China’s war-preparedness drill, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Jul 1, 2022 BRICS Summit: Common Ground, Conflict & Change, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News Global Lessons From Leaked Video of Chinese War Preparedness Exercise, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News Global, Jun 14, 2022 Discontent in CCP threatens Xi's march, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Jun 3, 2022 Biden's Taiwan Threat Rattles China, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediff News, May 24, 2022 Rallying point for Tibetans worries China, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, May 19, 2022 China Rumblings XI Jinping Rattled?, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News Global, May 13, 2022 Rift in CCP over Xi’s policies on US, Russia, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, May 10, 2022 Beijing’s suspected biowarfare research with Pakistan: panel moderated by Col Anil Bhat (retd) | SAM Conversation, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, South Asia Monitor, Apr 30, 2022 Out of the ordinary, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Apr 21, 2022 China determined to stand by Russia, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Apr 01, 2022 Early, Complete Disengagement In Remaining Areas First, Then India-China NSA/Special Reps Can Meet, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strat News Global, Mar 25, 2022 Post Ukraine, China’s Taiwan policy under lens, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Mar 10, 2022 Ukraine Conflict: Why Xi Jinping Is Closely Watching The West, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News Global, Feb 28, 2022 Ukraine Crisis: What Will China Do?, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediff News, Feb 25, 2022 China’s bleak economy a problem for Xi, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Feb 25, 2022 China digging in for long haul in Ladakh, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediff News, Feb 22, 2022 China looks for ways to revive ties with US, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Feb 2, 2022 There are signs of unease in China’s domestic politics, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Hindustan Times, Jan 27, 2022 Insight into China’s anti-India propaganda, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Jan 17, 2022 Is the Chinese media signalling a warning to India?, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Times of India, Jan 05, 2022 Xi’s new security satraps, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Dec 20, 2021 What is China's action plan for Tibet?, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediff News, Dec 16, 2021 Xi’s grip on power may extend status quo, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Nov 29, 2021 Xi's 'common prosperity' push stokes fears, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Nov 9, 2021 Xi Plays Tibet Card, Appoints Hardliner, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediff News, Oct 29, 2021 Why Chinese Leaders Are Rushing To Tibet, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediff News, Oct 13, 2021 All not quiet on Chinese front, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Oct 6, 2021 From Tibetan resistance to international tensions, China’s obstacles in TAR, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Hindustan Times, Sep 28, 2021 PLA Unrest: Why Xi Is Worried, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediff News, Sep 22, 2021 |
