ISSUE/POLICY BRIEFS & REPORTS
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DPP's WIN IN TAIWAN ELECTIONS WILL HAVE REPERCUSSIONS
The results of Taiwan’s national elections announced on January 12, confirmed assessments that Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen’s popularity ratings had received a substantial boost, partly because of China’s threatening posture but mainly because of the unceasing protests in Hongkong that have now entered their ninth month without losing popular support. The results will impact China. Beijing -- and Chinese President Xi Jinping -- now confront the prospect of the ‘China Dream’, envisaging China’s ‘reunification’ by 2021 or even 2049, becoming a distant prospect. The results could have wider repercussions in the region.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Jan 2020 |
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CHINESE PRESIDENT XI JINPING FACES DIFFICULT TIMES AHEAD
There are clear indications that popular dissatisfaction and discontent with Chinese President Xi Jinping inside China continues to simmer just below the surface. The economic slowdown, unemployment and rising cost of living have contributed to the discontent.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Jan 2020 |
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THE CHINA DREAM
An idea never dies and the Chinese elite understood that centuries ago!
2. The ‘China Dream’, or idea of making China great again, has been
espoused by Chinese leaders for more than a couple of centuries and the
idea continues to resonate with the Chinese people. The first popular
expression of this sentiment was the Boxer Rebellion (1889-1901), which
was anti-imperialist, anti-foreign and anti-Christian – together crystalising
into resentment against the colonial powers who had divided China, as
the Chinese say, ‘like an over-ripe pomegranate’! The narrative being
propagated by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leadership of “a
hundred years of humiliation” is part of this. Chinese leaders, including
Mao Zedong and the founders of the CCP in 1921, have articulated this
with varying intensity. One reason why it is called the ‘China Dream’ and
not the Chinese Dream is that this is an idea that has inspired Chinese
leaders and the leadership elite, and not the Chinese masses.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Nov 2019 |
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CCP CC’S 4TH PLENUM COULD SUGGEST A DILUTION IN XI JINPING’S AUTHORITY
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) held the long overdue 4th plenary session of its 19th
Central Committee (CC) from October 28 – 31, 2019. Held after a delay of nearly 20 months,
the 4th Plenum took place at a time of some uncertainty in China, indicated also by speculative
reports suggesting that the Politburo Standing Committee (PBSC) could be expanded with the
addition of a couple of new members. This speculation, which claimed that the induction of
new members would signal a political setback for Xi Jinping, proved erroneous. However,
while the Plenum communique unequivocally emphasised the Party’s importance in all spheres
it, along with the Plenum Resolution issued on November 5 evening, did contain a hint that
possibly Xi Jinping’s power has been slightly diluted.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Nov 2019 |
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CHINA: PATH TO HI-TECHNOLOGY
The world is on the threshold of major technology advances that will translate what has so
far been in the realm of science fiction to everyday reality. There is clear promise of
transformational changes, with the next couple of decades being witness to technology
driving almost every aspect of life.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Oct 2019 |
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CAN THE SECOND XI-MODI SUMMIT TACKLE THE REALLY DIFFICULT ISSUES
In just around a fortnight in mid-October, Chinese President Xi Jinping is scheduled to arrive in India for his second ‘informal’ meeting with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in the ancient coastal town of Mamallapuram near Chennai. Xi Jinping is likely to combine it with a visit to neighbouring Nepal where China has in recent years acquired considerable influence, the pace of which has accelerated since installation of the communist government initially under Prachanda. Developments over the past months, however, make any meaningful progress at the Summit unlikely.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Oct 2019 (It was published on https://www.vifindia.org/2019/october/04/can-the-second-xi-modi-summit-tackle-the-really-difficult-issues ) |
RECENT EVENTS/VISITSThe Implications and future of China’s Belt and Road Initiative 23 Apr 2019 
Where is Xi Jinping's China Headed?, A conversation between Mr. Jayadeva Ranade and Ms. Indrani Bagchi 17 Aug 2018 Book Launch: Xi Jinping's China by Jayadeva Ranade & Cadres of Tibet by Jayadeva Ranade 23 Feb 2018 
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CCAS EXPERTS IN MEDIAIndia's World - Myanmar-China Pact & India, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rajya Sabha TV, Jan 27, 2020 India must take note of the China-Pakistan nexus, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Hindustan Times, Jan 22, 2020 More trouble brews for Xi, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Tribune India, Jan 15, 2020 Don't rush into 5G, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Tribune India, Jan 3, 2020 Xi Jinping wants to remould Xinjiang's minorities | , Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, NewsX, Jan 2, 2020 Hong Kong has spoken, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Tribune India, Dec 5, 2019 HTLS 2019: The China-Pak nexus is a threat. India is countering it well | Opinion, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Hindustan Times, Dec 1, 2019 Xi-Modi meet raises queries on China's intent, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Tribune, Oct 31, 2019 Can India trust China?, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediff.com, Oct 16, 2019 Insight 14 October 2019, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Lok Sabha TV, Oct 14, 2019 Why Xi did not raise Kashmir with Modi, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediff.com, Oct 14, 2019 PM Narendra Modi-Xi Jinping Meet: Grand setting, strong optics, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, NewsX, Oct 11, 2019 Mamallapuram Summit: Can Modi-Xi Bonhomie Transform India-China Relations?, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Oct 11, 2019 Analyst on Modi-Xi Informal Summit, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Oct 11, 2019 Modi-Xi second informal Summit @Public Forum, Namrata Hasija, Research Associate, CCAS, Lok Sabha TV, Oct 11, 2019 India should recognise Taiwan's importance as a democracy, Namrata Hasija, Research Associate, CCAS, South Asia Monitor, Oct 11, 2019 China's statement before Xi Jinping's visit on Kashmir at Public Forum, Namrata Hasija, Research Associate, CCAS, Lok Sabha TV, Oct 09, 2019 All eyes on Modi-Xi meeting, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Tribune, Oct 05, 2019 Public Forum: Geopolitics of China's Dream, Namrata Hasija, Research Associate, CCAS, Lok Sabha TV, Oct 01, 2019 |
