ISSUE/POLICY BRIEFS & REPORTS
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CHINA'S ECONOMIC REVIVAL WILL FACE SERIOUS HEADWINDS
Quite apart from the huge tragic cost to human life caused by the Coronavirus (COVID-
19) pandemic, mishandling of which by China’s leadership has angered and frustrated
the country’s citizens as evidenced by the riots at the border check-post between Hubei
and Jiangxi provinces on March 28, the pandemic has severely impacted China’s
economy. The epidemic virtually stopped China’s economic growth for nearly three
months and rendered millions jobless.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Mar 2020 |
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DISSATISFACTION WITH CHINESE PRESIDENT XI JINPING MOUNTS
Expressions of popular discontent in China have increased and are
mounting pressure on Chinese President Xi Jinping and the Chinese
Communist Party (CCP). The widespread anger among Chinese citizens at
the lack of transparency and attempt to withhold information about
outbreak of the Coronavirus epidemic was the spark that fanned the
latent discontent which, provoked by the abolition of term-limits on
appointments to China’s apex posts of President, Vice President and
cadres to the Politburo and its Standing Committee, has been simmering
since the 19th Party Congress in October 2017.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Mar 2020 |
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THE COVID-19 EPIDEMIC AND CHINA’S ECONOMY
The Coronavirus epidemic struck China when it was in the midst of serious economic
problems and high unemployment and Chinese economists were already candidly
warning of a 1 percent drop in growth this year. The attempted cover-up by Chinese
authorities of the Coronavirus epidemic for nearly two months -- unimaginable in
democracies -- exacerbated economic losses and disruption in addition to causing the
loss of numerous lives and delaying an international medical response to the virus.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Mar 2020 |
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TIBET AUTONOMOUS REGION (TAR)’s EXPENDITURE ON PUBLIC SECURITY
Tibetans have till this day not acquiesced to China’s occupation of Tibet or large portions of its territory being merged with the neighbouring Xinjiang-Uyghur Autonomous Region and the Qinghai, Sichuan, Gansu and Yunnan provinces to create the Tibet Autonomous Region (TAR) in September 1965. In the process Tibet was reduced in area from 2.5 million square kms to 1.2 million square kms.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Mar 2020 (It has been published by VIF at this link also. https://www.vifindia.org/2020/march/13/china-and-us-could-emerge-as-adversaries-over-the-tibet-issue ) |
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CHINA AND U.S. COULD EMERGE AS ADVERSARIES OVER THE TIBET ISSUE
China’s communist authorities appear to have reached the conclusion approximately 18 months ago that the time for selecting the reincarnation of the XIVth Dalai Lama is drawing near. Since then they have stepped up efforts to capture the hearts and minds of the Tibetan people and adapt Tibetan Buddhism to “socialism with Chinese characteristics”.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Mar 2020 |
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POPULAR PROTESTS UNDERMINE CHINESE PRESIDENT XI JINPING'S CREDIBILITY
Popular discontent and dissatisfaction with Chinese President Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) simmering since March 2018 erupted into overt public criticism from the end of January 2020, prompted by news of the Wuhan virus epidemic becoming public. There is presently little indication of it abating till at least the epidemic begins to peter out. By then it would have palpably dented, if not damaged, the credibility and image of Chinese President Xi Jinping and the CCP.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Feb 2020 |
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DPP's WIN IN TAIWAN ELECTIONS WILL HAVE REPERCUSSIONS
The results of Taiwan’s national elections announced on January 12, confirmed assessments that Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen’s popularity ratings had received a substantial boost, partly because of China’s threatening posture but mainly because of the unceasing protests in Hongkong that have now entered their ninth month without losing popular support. The results will impact China. Beijing -- and Chinese President Xi Jinping -- now confront the prospect of the ‘China Dream’, envisaging China’s ‘reunification’ by 2021 or even 2049, becoming a distant prospect. The results could have wider repercussions in the region.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Jan 2020 |
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CHINESE PRESIDENT XI JINPING FACES DIFFICULT TIMES AHEAD
There are clear indications that popular dissatisfaction and discontent with Chinese President Xi Jinping inside China continues to simmer just below the surface. The economic slowdown, unemployment and rising cost of living have contributed to the discontent.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Jan 2020 |
Centre for China Analysis and Strategy proudly continues to make meaningful contributions towards 'Understanding China' and has produced a comprehensive Directory of the People's Liberation Army, Western Theatre Command Air Force (updated till November, 2019). Our President, Mr. Jayadeva Ranade presented the same to Air Chief Marshal Rakesh Kumar Singh Bhadauria, PVSM, AVSM, VM, ADC on 24 February 2020. RECENT EVENTS/VISITSSeminar organised by the Centre for China Analysis and Strategy (CCAS) and Centre for Advanced Strategic Studies (CASS) on 'India-China Relations in the Twenty First Century : Challenges and Opportunities' held on 03rd March 2020. The event was supported by ICWA and also by Maharashtra Education Society, Pune on 3 March 2020. 
Seminar organized by Centre for China Analysis and Strategy & Delhi Journalists Association titled 'Understanding China's Rise' held at IIC on 28 February 2020. The Implications and future of China’s Belt and Road Initiative 23 Apr 2019 
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CCAS EXPERTS IN MEDIACovid-19 strikes China’s economy, raising popular dissatisfaction, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Sunday Guardian, Mar 14, 2020 President of Centre for China Studies and Analysis Jayadeva Ranade speaks to The Tilak Chronicle, Mar 11, 2020 China, US emerging as adversaries over Tibet, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Tribune India, Mar 10, 2020 Ms Namrata Hasija, from Centre for China Strategy & Analysis speaks to The Tilak Chronicle, Mar 7, 2020 The Big Picture: Balakot Airstrike - Lessons Learnt, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rajya Sabha TV, Feb 26, 2020 The Coronavirus Is A Terrible Tragedy But Will China Absorb The Right Lessons?, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News Global, Feb 8, 2020 Bulldozing Taiwan, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Tribune India, Feb 7, 2020 India's World - Myanmar-China Pact & India, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rajya Sabha TV, Jan 27, 2020 India must take note of the China-Pakistan nexus, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Hindustan Times, Jan 22, 2020 More trouble brews for Xi, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Tribune India, Jan 15, 2020 Don't rush into 5G, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Tribune India, Jan 3, 2020 Xi Jinping wants to remould Xinjiang's minorities | , Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, NewsX, Jan 2, 2020 Hong Kong has spoken, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Tribune India, Dec 5, 2019 HTLS 2019: The China-Pak nexus is a threat. India is countering it well | Opinion, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Hindustan Times, Dec 1, 2019 Xi-Modi meet raises queries on China's intent, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Tribune, Oct 31, 2019 Can India trust China?, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediff.com, Oct 16, 2019 |
