ISSUE/POLICY BRIEFS & REPORTS

CHINA’S XIAOKANG (WELL-OFF) BORDER DEFENCE VILLAGES IN TIBET AUTONOMOUS REGION
Since the 19th Party Congress in October 2017, Chinese President Xi Jinping has signalled that extra attention would be paid by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leadership to building a more comprehensive security structure in the Tibet Autonomous Region (TAR). The new architecture strengthens the present security apparatus already in place and combines it with Chinese President Xi Jinping’s new initiative of ‘model ‘xiaokang’ (well-off) border defence villages’. It is part of his nationwide push for poverty alleviation spelt out at the 19th Party Congress. The ‘xiaokang’ (well-off) border defence villages’ are also intended to create a buffer inhabited by people loyal to the CCP and the nation.

Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE
Sep 2019
INNER-PARTY DIFFERENCES ON HONG KONG ISSUE POSE PROBLEMS FOR XI JINPING
China’s leadership will have been incensed by the photographs and videos of protestors in Hong Kong carrying American flags and chanting “America please take over Hong Kong” on September 9, in apparent escalation of the protests against Chinese rule by millions of Hong Kong residents that have continued over fifteen weekends in the adverse glare of international media publicity. It would have underscored the concerns of senior and veteran leaders at the annual gathering in Beidaihe of a ‘colour revolution’.

Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE
Sep 2019
(It was published on https://www.vifindia.org/article/2019/september/16/inner-party-differences-on-hong-kong-issue-pose-problems-for-xi-jinping on 16 September.)
THE US-CHINA TRADE WAR: FALL OUT IN CHINA
The mood in the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) hierarchy is sombre.

The US-China trade war as it is called marks a substantive change in the US-China relationship. Mutual suspicion now taints what Beijing has for decades described as its most important relationship. The bipartisan support that Trump’s new policy towards China enjoys points to strains in the relationship lasting for quite some time and, in any case, fundamentally altering it.

Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE
Aug 2019
NO CHANGE IN CHINESE PRESIDENT XI JINPING’S ASSERTIVE POLICIES DESPITE PRESSURE
Since more than the past 18 months Chinese President Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) have been under increasing pressure because of the US-China Tariff war. Washington has also been trying to create an adverse international environment for China. The recent troubles in Hongkong, blamed by the official Chinese media as the handiwork of hostile foreign forces, are additionally problematic. Domestically too, the cost of living is rising and China’s economy has been slowing thereby contributing to increased unemployment and sparking worker unrest.

Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE
Jul 2019
BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE (BRI) AND ITS FUTURE IMPLICATIONS
When we look at the BRI, it is important to look at it from a broader perspective. Over the last decade or so, there has been a flux in global geopolitics. The older established powers are being challenged by other emerging centers of power especially in Asia. It is in this context that we have to look at BRI, the evolution of which coincides with this flux. In addition there is an attempt by China to reshape the world order as we know it.

Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE
Apr 2019
AN ASSESSMENT OF THE SECOND PLENUM OF CHINA’S 13TH NATIONAL PEOPLE’S CONGRESS
2158 delegates of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) and 2948 Deputies of the National People’s Congress (NPC) convened in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing in the first fortnight of March 2019, for their respective annual plenary sessions. The plenary sessions set the agenda for the year ahead and accorded formal approval of the entire 89 million-strong Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to the policies, programmes and budget of the CCP leadership for the coming year.

Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE
Apr 2019
CPEC AND CHALLENGES FOR PAKISTAN
China’s ‘One Belt, One Road’, which was first proposed in September 2013 and combines the twin initiatives of the Silk Road Economic Belt and 21st Century Maritime Silk Road, is a grand concept that envisions China girdling the globe. Potentially covering 55 per cent of the world GNP, 70 per cent of the global population, and 75 per cent of known energy reserves, it is essentially a plan for a China-built land and sea transportation artery to link China’s production centres with markets and natural resource centres around the world.

Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE
(It was published in April, 2019 by http://www.pugwashindia.com)
INITIAL ASSESSMENT OF CHINA’S CPPCC PLENARY SESSION - 2019
Earlier in March this year, China successfully concluded plenary meetings of the Party’s top two bodies, which set the agenda for the year ahead. 2158 delegates of China's top political advisory body, the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) gathered in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing from March 9 - 11, 2019. The CPPCC’s responsibilities include supervising the United Front Work Department (UFWD) and overseas work relating to China’s ethnic minorities, enacting regulations and policies for China’s ethnic minorities, interacting with noncommunist entities and forging relations with foreign political parties, creating pro- Beijing lobbies abroad etc. The plenary sessions are intended to formalise approval of the 89 million-strong Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to its leadership’s policies, programmes and budget for the coming year.

Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE
Mar 2019
CHINA INTENSIFIES EFFORTS TO DIMINISH DALAI LAMA'S INFLUENCE
There has been a visible acceleration over the past many months in the efforts of the Chinese authorities to diminish and undermine the XIVth Dalai Lama’s influence over Tibetans inside China. Additionally, this year is marked by a number of anniversaries in China's political calendar including the 70th year of the founding of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) in October, the founding anniversary of the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) in April as well as the sensitive thirtieth anniversary of the Tiananmen ‘incident’ in June and sixtieth anniversary of the XIVth Dalai Lama's flight from Tibet on March 10. The latter two would be cause for the most unease to China’s leadership. The current strain in Sino-US relations has added to Beijing’s worries.

Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE
(It has been published by VIF and link is: https://www.vifindia.org/article/2019/march/15/china-intensifies-efforts-to-diminish-dalai-lama-s-influence)

SITUATION IN CHINA IN 2019
2019, which also heralds China's 'Year of the Boar' from February 5, will probably be a difficult year for the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leadership and for Chinese President Xi Jinping, who has concentrated power unprecedented since the time of Mao Zedong. Domestic issues like slowing down of theeconomy and maintenance of stability will get further accentuated and behigh priorities on the leadership's agenda.The apparent bipartisan US 'Trade War' against China, correctly interpreted by the Chinese as intended to prevent the country's rise, will add to the pressure. China's technology-centered 'Made in China 2025' programme is already adversely impacted with advanced European nations joining the US to deny China hi-technology and its telecommunications companies access to new markets and upgraded 5G networks.

Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE
(It has been published by VIF and link is: https://www.vifindia.org/2019/january/09/situation-in-china-in-2019 )

RESETTING OF THE INDIA-CHINA BILATERAL RELATIONSHIP
In a backdrop of unsettled global geopolitical equations and absence of a single dominant world power willing to exercise its influence to prevent the unilateral alteration of the established status quo in the Indo-Pacific region, India-China relations are presently at a crucial stage. Competition for strategic space between the two has been increasing as a ‘rising’ China tries to expand its military, economic and diplomatic influence across South Asia and the Indo-Pacific. The emergence simultaneously of strong leaders in Japan and India each with an articulated vision for his country has, however, made clear that they would be unwilling to acquiesce to China’s dominance. Sino-Indian tensions have predictably increased as both countries are trying to find new accommodations to reset the relationship.

Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE
(Published in the book 'Making of New India: Transformation under Modi Government' published on 27 November 2018)

RECENT EVENTS/VISITS


The Implications and future of China’s Belt and Road Initiative  23 Apr 2019


Where is Xi Jinping's China Headed?, A conversation between Mr. Jayadeva Ranade and Ms. Indrani Bagchi  17 Aug 2018


Book Launch: Xi Jinping's China by Jayadeva Ranade & Cadres of Tibet by Jayadeva Ranade  23 Feb 2018


CCAS EXPERTS IN MEDIA


India's World - US-Taliban Talks Cancelled: Implications for India, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rajya Sabha TV, Sep 16, 2019

Prime Time, Sept 10, 2019 | Why Pakistan Isn't Deterred By Raising Kashmir At International Forums?, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, NDTV, Sep 10, 2019

Hong Kong deadlock-Xi Jinping cannot allow the protests to drag on without hurting his position, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Tribune, Sep 10, 2019

India's World - Indo-Pak Ties After Abrogation of Article 370, Namrata Hasija, Research Associate, CCAS, CSSAME, Aug 24, 2019

India's World - Indo-Pak Ties After Abrogation of Article 370, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rajya Sabha TV, Aug 12, 2019

The Roundtable: Future relations of India-China-USA?, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, NewsX, Aug 09, 2019

The Big Picture - PoK & Aksai Chin: India's Options, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rajya Sabha TV, Aug 06, 2019

Modi Government Unveils India’s Security Strategy, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News International, Aug 05, 2019

Bumps in ties with China , Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Tribune, Aug 01, 2019

No change in Chinese President Xi Jinping's assertive policies despite pressure , Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, VIF India, Jul 30, 2019

Xi unlikely to modulate policies despite pressure , Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Sunday Guardian, Jul 27, 2019

America-China truce masks trust deficit , Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Tribune, Jul 08, 2019

An invitation to Dalai Lama , Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Tribune, Jun 25, 2019

Are we seeing the cyber world war? Is your Chinese phone spying on you? , Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, NewsX, Jun 24, 2019

China preparing to resume contact with the Dalai Lama? , Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediffnews.com, Jun 24, 2019

Public Forum: A Current Affairs Programme. Topic for discussion on 12.06.2019 -SCO SUMMIT IN BISHKEK, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Lok Sabha TV, Jun 12, 2019

Decoding Data Sovereignty: The Pursuit of Supremacy, Cover Story special, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, www.youtube.com, Jun 10, 2019

The Students Talked Of Freedom Without Realising What It Meant, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News International, Jun 4, 2019

China unveils threat amidst rising tensions, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Sunday Guardian, Jun 2, 2019

Can Modi fulfill ambitions in 2nd term?, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Global Times, May 27, 2019

A Long Strange March | Books, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, India Today, May 27, 2019

China-Pakistan ties get stronger by the day, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediffnews.com, May 27, 2019

Chinese Strategic Squeeze Or Connectivity Miracle?, Prof Madhu Bhalla and Jayadeva Ranade, Strategic News International, April 21, 2019

India should bolster Taiwan ties to frustrate China’s aggressive designs, Namrata Hasija, Research Associate, CCAS, South Asia Monitor, April 1, 2019

China sets agenda for year ahead, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Sunday Guardian, March 23, 2019

Sushma Swaraj's Visit to Maldives, Namrata Hasija, Research Associate, CCAS, Lok Sabha TV, March 19, 2019

India's World - Terror: World Stands With India, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rajya Sabha TV, March 18, 2019

Kashmir Conflict Likely to Spur Pakistan to Grow Even Closer With China, India’s Rival, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Epoch Times , March 17, 2019

Public Forum:- China Backs Masood Again, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Lok Sabha TV, March 14, 2019

China steps up efforts to diminish the Dalai Lama’s influence, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Sunday Guardian, March 9, 2019

India Pakistan Conflict: Pakistan still in denial mode, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Roundtable , February 28, 2019

India Strikes Jaish Terror Camp: The Balakot Paradigm, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, February 26, 2019

Pulwama terrorist attack shows China’s unwavering support to Pak, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Sunday Guardian , February 23, 2019

China plans to sell Pak an aircraft carrier and integrate it militarily, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Sunday Guardian , February 2, 2019

Beware of Chinese propaganda!, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediff News , January 11, 2019





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