ISSUE/POLICY BRIEFS & REPORTS
|
THE PEOPLE’S LIBERATION ARMY (PLA) AND CHINA’S 20TH PARTY CONGRESS The People's Liberation Army (PLA) is the sword arm of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
It has been the strongest pillar of the Party and has had a presence and voice in the Party's
highest echelons since almost the very founding of the CCP. This is reflected at the Party
Congress held every five years where the Work Report of the Government approved by the
Party also sets out the task for the PLA for the coming five years. For example, Xi Jinping set
a timeline for China’s defence modernization at the 19th Party Congress in 2017
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Nov 2022 (This Issue Brief was first published by Vivekananda International foundation (VIF)) |
|
ASSESSMENT OF CHINA’S 20TH PARTY CONGRESS The 20th Party Congress (October 6-22, 2022) is a watershed event in China’s political history and marks a new phase. It exemplified Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Central Committee (CC) General Secretary Xi Jinping’s absolute control and firm grip on the CCP. From selection of members of the Politburo and its Standing Committee to finalisation of the Work Report presented to the 20th Party Congress, all carried Xi Jinping’s firm imprimatur. Xi Jinping has pushed China into becoming a one-man totalitarian state.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Oct 2022 (This Issue Brief was first published by Vivekananda International foundation (VIF)) |
|
XI JINPING AND THE PORTENDS FOR HIS THIRD TERM The recent rumour that Xi Jinping had been placed under house arrest, prompted by wishful
thinking rather than fact, nonetheless confirmed that Xi Jinping is now China’s central figure
nearly as much as Mao and Deng Xiaoping once were!
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Oct 2022 (This Issue Brief was first published by Vivekananda International foundation (VIF)) |
|
SIGNS OF WESTERN THEATRE COMMAND’S IMPORTANCE BEFORE UPCOMING 20TH PARTY CONGRESS As the sword-arm of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), the People's Liberation Army (PLA)
has enjoyed pre-eminent status as its third pillar since the founding of the People's Republic
of China. However, as the old 'Revolutionary' leaders began fading and new leaders without
links to the PLA began taking over, China’s leadership began placing restraints on the PLA's
political clout in order to maintain the CCP's supremacy and authority over the PLA. It's
membership and, therefore authority, in the CCP's Politburo was gradually reduced to two.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Sep 2022 (This Issue Brief was first published by Vivekananda International foundation (VIF)) |
|
XI JINPING APPEARS SET FOR THE NEXT TERM AT CHINA’S HELM After a fortnight’s absence from public events, Chinese President Xi Jinping and Chinese Premier Li Keqiang appeared in the Liaoning and Guangdong provinces respectively. Their absence since July 31 and appearance subsequently on August 16 confirmed that the secretive conclave of senior veteran cadres at the Beidaihe seaside resort had concluded after a fortnight. None of the Politburo Standing Committee (PBSC) members were noticed either during this period. The extended duration of the Beidaihe conclave, which normally lasts 8-10 days, has sparked some speculation in China. So also has the fact that instead of the other PBSC members appearing earlier – National People’s Congress (NPC) Chairman and PBSC member Li Zhanshu was the first to appear after the previous two conclaves at Beidaihe – it were Xi Jinping and Li Keqiang who were seen.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Aug 2022 (This Issue Brief was first published by Vivekananda International foundation (VIF)) |
|
XI JINPING BEGINS APPOINTING LOYALISTS TO KEY POSTS The political situation in China is becoming volatile as the 20th Party Congress draws near and
rumours of imminent purges circulating in Beijing gain momentum. The absence of a
‘Revolutionary’ veteran founding leader with unchallenged authority to decide on leadership
appointments has added to the uncertainty. Surviving leaders like Song Ping are over 103 now
and frail. The failed bids for power in 2012 by the now incarcerated former Politburo (PB)
member and ‘princeling’ Bo Xilai and incarcerated Politburo Standing Committee (PBSC)
member and Security Czar Zhou Yongkang continue to haunt the Chinese Communist Party
(CCP).
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Jul 2022 (This Issue Brief was first published by Vivekananda International foundation (VIF)) |
|
INITIAL ANALYSIS OF LEAKED VIDEO OF CHINESE WAR PREPAREDNESS EXERCISE IN GUANGDONG
The timing of the 'leak' of the video of a ‘War Preparedness Mobilisation Exercise’ convened
by the Guangdong Province Communist Party Committee on May 14, 2022 is interesting. It is
yet unclear whether the video was deliberately ‘leaked’ by the Chinese as part of psywar, or
it was an unauthorised recording of the meeting by a disgruntled People's Liberation Army
(PLA) officer. It will nonetheless certainly be carefully analysed by China’s neighbours and
competitors.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE Jun 2022 (This Issue Brief was first published by Vivekananda International foundation (VIF)) |
|
TROUBLED TIMES AHEAD FOR CHINA AND XI JINPING
China is headed for a difficult period. A variety of factors have converged to make this a
potentially volatile period. With barely six months to go for the crucial 20th Party Congress,
it will be a period of particularly heightened concern for Chinese President Xi Jinping. This
especially as he has been in charge of the economic and foreign policy portfolios, both of
where major problems loom.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE May 2022 (This Issue Brief was first published by Vivekananda International foundation (VIF)) |
|
RUSSIA-CHINA: IMPLICATIONS OF THE UNEQUAL RELATIONSHIP
A brief background of world events will help set the context for assessing this relationship.
Without delving into why Russia did what it did in Ukraine, over the past few years we have
witnessed major powers attempting to consolidate or expand their territory – as in the case
of China – or their areas of influence.
Mr. JAYADEVA RANADE May 2022 (This Issue Brief was first published by Vivekananda International foundation (VIF)) |
Mr Jayadeva Ranade, President, Centre for China Analysis and Strategy #CCAS called on General Manoj Pande #COAS and discussed contemporary geopolitical and national security issues. 
Centre for China Analysis and Strategy proudly continues to make meaningful contributions towards 'Understanding #China' and has produced a comprehensive directory of the People's Liberation Army, Western Theatre Command (updated till February 2021). EVENTSRise of China and Implications for the World co-hosted with Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung India, Department of Defence and Strategic Studies, Pune University and Centre for Advanced Strategic Studies from 10-12 April 2022 in Pune 
Seminar organised by the Centre for China Analysis and Strategy (CCAS) and Centre for Advanced Strategic Studies (CASS) on 'India-China Relations in the Twenty First Century : Challenges and Opportunities' held on 03rd March 2020. The event was supported by ICWA and also by Maharashtra Education Society, Pune on 3 March 2020. 
Seminar organized by Centre for China Analysis and Strategy & Delhi Journalists Association titled 'Understanding China's Rise' held at IIC on 28 February 2020. |
|
CCAS EXPERTS IN MEDIAXi Not Comfortable Taking On U.S., Will Be Aggressive Towards India, Taiwan, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News Global, Nov 14, 2022 Which way China will go, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Oct 18, 2022 Xi Jinping and the portends for his third term, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, News9live, Oct 15, 2022 Xi Jinping is NOT under house arrest - likely to win 3rd term: Indian experts, Namrata Hasija, Research Associate, CCAS, Citti Media, Oct 14, 2022 Sense Of Inevitability As China Party Congress Begins, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News Global, Oct 11, 2022 Are Xi's Policies Disastrous For China?, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediff News, Sep 21, 2022 Xi strengthens Western Theatre Command, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Sep 19, 2022 Another Round Of Disengagement At LAC: Why Now & What Next?, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strat News Global, Sep 13, 2022 China steps up bid to woo Nepal’s Buddhists, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Sep 7, 2022 Tough Road Ahead For Xi Jinping, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediff News, Aug 26, 2022 Xi pulls out all stops to seek another term, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Aug 20, 2022 PRC a divided on military reunification of Taiwan, Namrata Hasija, Research Associate, CCAS, Sunday Guardian, Aug 7, 2022 In dire straits: How Taiwan’s fate is closely linked with China’s internal political churn, Namrata Hasija, Research Associate, CCAS, Firstpost, Aug 6, 2022 China wary of Indian influence in Nepal, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Aug 2, 2022 Uplift border villages with holistic approach, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Jul 18, 2022 Shyam Saran's book 'How China Sees India and the World' traces interaction between the two countries, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Jul 10, 2022 Lessons from China’s war-preparedness drill, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Jul 1, 2022 BRICS Summit: Common Ground, Conflict & Change, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News Global Lessons From Leaked Video of Chinese War Preparedness Exercise, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News Global, Jun 14, 2022 Discontent in CCP threatens Xi's march, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Jun 3, 2022 Biden's Taiwan Threat Rattles China, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediff News, May 24, 2022 Rallying point for Tibetans worries China, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, May 19, 2022 China Rumblings XI Jinping Rattled?, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News Global, May 13, 2022 Rift in CCP over Xi’s policies on US, Russia, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, May 10, 2022 Beijing’s suspected biowarfare research with Pakistan: panel moderated by Col Anil Bhat (retd) | SAM Conversation, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, South Asia Monitor, Apr 30, 2022 Out of the ordinary, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Apr 21, 2022 China determined to stand by Russia, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Apr 01, 2022 Early, Complete Disengagement In Remaining Areas First, Then India-China NSA/Special Reps Can Meet, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strat News Global, Mar 25, 2022 Post Ukraine, China’s Taiwan policy under lens, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Mar 10, 2022 Ukraine Conflict: Why Xi Jinping Is Closely Watching The West, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Strategic News Global, Feb 28, 2022 Ukraine Crisis: What Will China Do?, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediff News, Feb 25, 2022 China’s bleak economy a problem for Xi, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Feb 25, 2022 China digging in for long haul in Ladakh, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Rediff News, Feb 22, 2022 China looks for ways to revive ties with US, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Feb 2, 2022 There are signs of unease in China’s domestic politics, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, The Hindustan Times, Jan 27, 2022 Insight into China’s anti-India propaganda, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Tribune India, Jan 17, 2022 Is the Chinese media signalling a warning to India?, Jayadeva Ranade, President, CCAS, Times of India, Jan 05, 2022 |
