Shi Yinhong, Professor of International Relations at People's University in Beijing, said recently that China blames the United States for causing trouble with its neighbours in order to try to "contain" China's rise. He said it was "natural" for nations like Australia and India to form a "strategic coalition" with others including Japan and the US in response to the strengthening of China and expansion of Chinese naval activity. This had resulted in leaders on all sides getting locked into self-reinforcing cycles of aggression, with US-anchored "defensive" coalitions perceived to be "offensive" in Beijing. Prof Shi Yinhong added that whether or not China's strategy was counterproductive, Beijing's strategic calculus would not change. China would continue on its trajectory because of popular nationalism, dynamics within the armed forces "and of course also our top leaders' personal beliefs and strategic personalities". He anticipated that militarised disputes across the East China Sea, South China Sea and along the spine of the Himalayas will get worse. Observing that "This kind of tension between China and the US and US allies will deteriorate rather than improve," he said "there could be some tactical change in the direction of moderation but I cannot see any fundamental change in strategic orientation."