Prof. Wu Guoguang (吴国光), Zhao Ziyang's former aide, was interviewed by Yomiuri Shimbun
(Yomiuri News) about China under XJP in July and August and the interview was published by
Intium News on October 9. In response to the question that some experts in Japan have analysed or
predicted that the CCP will attack the outlying islands around Taiwan in the near future, such as
Taiping Island or Dongsha and that might entail the CCP paying a higher price for Taiwan’s actions,
such as the United States, Prof. Wu Guoguang replied "I don't understand military strategy and
tactics. I just look at it from a political perspective. I feel that China will not take actions to
cannibalize Taiwan in the near future. The political and economic costs of military actions against
Taiwan’s outer islands are very high. For example, in the situation you just mentioned, the
international community may have quite a few countermeasures against China. In addition to diplomatic actions, economic decoupling will further intensify the decoupling of China. I think this
is something China does not want to see. . If you can't get a lot of things, you have to pay a big price.
This should be something China is unwilling to do. If Taiwan were to be taken all of a sudden, that
would be another problem. In that case, it would get a lot of things, and it might be willing to pay a
big price. In that way, China gets more than just Taiwan. I think if China occupied Taiwan, Japan
might have to accept to be a vassal state of China and follow China, because China has stuck Japan’s
main maritime lifeline, including the transportation of energy and raw materials, and Japan may not
have much. chosen. In that case, the entire Western Pacific would be dominated by China. Then this
benefit is not only to get Taiwan, but also to establish China's hegemony in the entire Western
Pacific and Asia, and the United States' world hegemony will also disappear it has no influence in
Asia, and the EU will be even more alienated from it. The United States has at most only the
Americas left, and it has returned to the United States before the two world wars. For such a large
gain, even if Western countries came to sanction China at that time, China might be willing to pay
the price. Therefore, I think that China's military actions against Taiwan should not be cannibalistic,
but it is a big move if it is necessary."
He was next asked whether Xi Jinping is anti-globalization. He said he thinks Xi will continue Deng
Xiaoping's strategy to make use of globalization to penetrate and divide Western capitalist
communities. It is a strategy the CCP elite learned from their experiences in dealing with private
capital in the 1950s when the CCP was relatively weak. Prof. Wu Guogang explained "In fact, the
Chinese Communist Party understands this very well. When it first took power in 1950, the Chinese
economy it faced was still a market economy. At that time, nationalization and socialist
transformation had not yet been achieved. There were capitalists in China. At that time, China’s
economic wealth was mainly in private hands. The commerce brought by the Communist Party of
China from the liberated areas accounted for a very small proportion. However, at that time, the
Chinese Communist Party was able to quickly control the national economy in the face of private
industry and commerce dominating the economy. This was a very important achievement of the
Chinese Communist Party at that time. Who did this thing? Chen Yun. By the 1990s, Chen was still
alive. Deng Xiaoping also experienced this at the time. In the early 1990s, he pushed China to take
the lead in embracing globalization. And Yao Yilin, also experienced this. So, what is an experience
they summarized? That is: the capitalists are scattered, and they are all focused on self-interest. Although our power is not large, our power is concentrated. They are all in the hands of the
government. We can do whatever we want, so we can beat them."
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